Monday, 29 November 2021

NYC is ALREADY seeing signs of winter COVID-19 spike: City's positive test rate rises 2.2% and hospitals admitted more than 100 virus patients on Friday - a 25% jump in two weeks

 New York City is already seeing a spike in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations as the holiday season gets underway. 

Although holiday travel and gatherings have just started and the coldest days lie ahead, the city just recorded a spike of 2.22percent in COVID-19 positive test rate - the highest since September, Bloomberg reported. 

More than 100 patients were hospitalized with the virus just on Friday, marking a 25 percent spike from roughly two weeks ago.  New York City recorded 485 people hospitalized due to the virus on November 27, over 100 more than two weeks ago.

City and health officials have already warned New Yorkers that the worst is yet to come as more cases are expected to be recorded after the Thanksgiving weekend, and the country grapples with the threat of the Omicron variant, which was first detected in South Africa.  

On Monday, Mayor Bill de Blasio confirmed that no cases of the variant have yet been recorded in the city, but said there were fears that it could spread rapidly to the city. 

He reissued advice saying that all New Yorkers, regardless of vaccination status should wear masks indoors, including at grocery stores, in offices and gyms.  

At the state level, Governor Kathy Hochul, who declared a state of emergency on Saturday, reported 2,756 hospitalizations on Saturday, up from 1,915 a week before.

In an effort to curb the spread, Hochul said she will require New York State nursing home and adult care facility operators and administrators to make booster doses available to all of their residents.

The trend continues to be that hospitalizations and deaths are more common among those unvaccinated, with 17 hospitalization per 100,000 residents for those who have not received the jab as opposed to less than two hospitalizations per 100,000 for those who have been inoculated.

Hochul on Friday declared a state of emergency as COVID transmission reached rates not seen since April 2020, while insisting that the troubling new variant of COVID that first emerged in Botswana is 'coming.' 

More than 100 patients were hospitalized because of the virus just on Friday, marking a 25 percent spike from roughly two weeks ago

More than 100 patients were hospitalized because of the virus just on Friday, marking a 25 percent spike from roughly two weeks ago

The trend continues to be that hospitalizations and deaths are more common among those unvaccinated, with 17 hospitalization per 100,000 residents for those who have not received the jab as opposed to less than two hospitalizations per 100,000 for those who have been inoculated

The trend continues to be that hospitalizations and deaths are more common among those unvaccinated, with 17 hospitalization per 100,000 residents for those who have not received the jab as opposed to less than two hospitalizations per 100,000 for those who have been inoculated

Although holiday travel and gatherings have just started and the coldest days lay ahead, the city just recorded a spike of 2.22percent in COVID-19 positive test rate - the highest in two months

Although holiday travel and gatherings have just started and the coldest days lay ahead, the city just recorded a spike of 2.22percent in COVID-19 positive test rate - the highest in two months

The variant has not been detected in the US after the White House banned travel to eight nations on Friday, but Dr Anthony Fauci warned that a fifth wave could still be coming and it is 'inevitable' for the variant to be eventually detected in America. 

'We all know when you have a virus that has already gone to multiple countries, inevitably it will be here,' Fauci said on ABC's This Week on Sunday.

He urged Americans to get their booster shots, or their initial jabs if they had yet to get vaccinated - 'if we do that successfully... we can mitigate any increase.'  

Earlier on Friday, the US banned flights from eight Southern African countries to try and prevent the mutant strain, Omicron, from arriving. The ban goes into effect on Monday, meaning direct flights from Johannesburg will still land in the U.S. over the weekend.

On Friday night a flight from South Africa landed in the Netherlands, with 'dozens' of people infected with the Omicron. All passengers on board have been quarantined, and are being tested.  

Hochul said that all non-urgent procedures could be postponed beginning December 3 if the hospital's capacity falls dangerously low.

If a hospital finds that it has less than 10 percent of 'staffed bed capacity' free, then it will be permitted to cancel non-urgent, or elective, procedures, she ruled.

She also issued a declaration of disaster emergency, noting that COVID transmission is at a level not seen since April 2020. The declaration unlocks sweeping powers for her to take emergency measures, without the usual state congressional approval.

'We continue to see warning signs of spikes in COVID this winter, and while the new Omicron variant has yet to be detected in New York State, it's coming,' Hochul tweeted. 

The CDC said they had not detected any Omicron cases so far nationwide, and were confident they would find them quickly. 

'No cases of this variant have been identified in the U.S. to date,' it said.

'CDC is continuously monitoring variants and the U.S. variant surveillance system has reliably detected new variants in this country. 

'We expect Omicron to be identified quickly, if it emerges in the U.S.' 

Kathy Hochul, the governor of New York, on Friday warned the state that the new COVID variant, Omicron, was on its way, tweeting: 'It's coming'. She issued an executive order allowing hospitals whose bed capacity falls dangerously low to cancel elective operations

President Joe Biden on Friday banned travel from eight African countries - shaded red in the map. South Africa is the only one to have direct flights to the United States, with 13 a week. Now citizens of the eight countries, or anyone who has been there recently, are unable to enter the US

President Joe Biden on Friday banned travel from eight African countries - shaded red in the map. South Africa is the only one to have direct flights to the United States, with 13 a week. Now citizens of the eight countries, or anyone who has been there recently, are unable to enter the US

New York City recorded 485 people hospitalized due to the virus on November 27, over 100 more than two weeks ago
A nurse operates a ventilator for a patient with COVID-19 who went into cardiac arrest and was revived by staff at a hospital in Yonkers in April 2020. COVID transmission is now as high as it was then, the NY governor said on Friday

A nurse operates a ventilator for a patient with COVID-19 who went into cardiac arrest and was revived by staff at a hospital in Yonkers in April 2020. COVID transmission is now as high as it was then, the NY governor said on Friday

President Joe Biden confirmed on Friday that travel from South Africa and seven other countries in the region - Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique and Malawi - had been halted. 

The new variant was first found in Botswana and has since moved to South Africa, where it is spreading rapidly through six provinces.

It has also been found in Hong Kong, Israel and Belgium - and, as of Friday night, the Netherlands. 

Hochul's declaration of a disaster emergency acknowledges that the state is struggling - even before Omicron possibly hits.

'A disaster has occurred in New York State, for which the affected local governments are unable to respond adequately,' the declaration states. 'New York is now experiencing COVID-19 transmission at rates the State has not seen since April 2020.'

'The rate of new COVID-19 hospital admissions has been increasing over the past month to over 300 new admissions a day.'

It means that she can acquire pandemic supplies and enact the emergency hospital plan. Hochul's predecessor, Andrew Cuomo, had declared a disaster emergency on March 7, 2020.

It ran until June 24 of this year and was ended amid controversy, with Cuomo's critics saying he had used the emergency powers to consolidate his own personal power and rule in an authoritarian way, bypassing the legislature.  


COVID cases in New York are on the rise again, as this data from John Hopkins University shows

COVID cases in New York are on the rise again, as this data from John Hopkins University shows

Hospitalizations in New York peaked in April 2020, but are again climbing

Hospitalizations in New York peaked in April 2020, but are again climbing

Dr Eric Feigl-Ding, an epidemiologist, told DailyMail.com he agreed with the travel ban, but that more stringent quarantine measures should be brought in

Dr Eric Feigl-Ding, an epidemiologist, told DailyMail.com he agreed with the travel ban, but that more stringent quarantine measures should be brought in

Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding, an epidemiologist and senior fellow at the Federation of American Scientists, said initial data from the variant was worrying and border restrictions should be imposed. 

'Looks like vaccine evasion could be real with this variant,' he tweeted, pointing out that the two patients in Hong Kong who had the variant were both doubled-jabbed with the Pfizer vaccine. 

One of the two had recently been in Southern Africa. That person then passed it on to a second person, quarantining in the same hotel.  

'It's very airborne,' Feigl-Ding said. 'The hotel guests were in different room across the hallway from each other. Environmental samples found the virus in 25 of 87 swabs across both rooms.'

He added: 'I think border and travel restrictions make sense. Especially since Hong Kong only caught the case because of a mandatory hotel quarantine. Which countries in the west still have that??? Almost none.'   

Feigl-Ding told DailyMail.com that he was assessing the early data, and it was of concern.

'I think it's pretty serious,' he said. 'We're not 100 per cent certain, and the data is early. 'But if you look at how it appears to be lining up, it's bad. There's a great risk of this being a Pandemic 2.0 virus.'

Feigel-Ding, who taught at Harvard for over 15 years, and specialized in Ebola tracing during the 2014 outbreak, said there were significant concerns that the virus could infect those already vaccinated, and those who had been infected before.

'There are 32 mutations, so it's really, really scary,' he said. 'It could be more severe, or it could be more contagious. It's much, much worse if it's more contagious. And in South Africa, positivity rates went from one to 30 in a week, suggesting it's highly contagious.

'It's surging across six provinces at the same time.'

Feigel-Ding supported Friday's travel ban, but said Omicron was 'probably already worldwide'. 


He said Americans should step up their COVID precautions: making sure they got their boosters, which he said tripled the protection, and using premium-quality face masks, rather than simple cloth ones.

He said employees and hosts should be mindful of ventilation, and travelers arriving in hotel rooms should be sure to open windows and allow fresh air in. It was a mistake to remove face masks in enclosed spaces recently vacated by others, he said - even if you are the only person in the room - as the virus can linger in the air.

Feigel-Ding said he 'hated' Hochul's announcement that non-urgent surgical procedures could, in the worst-case scenario, be cancelled again - pointing out that surgery for cancer patients, plus knee and hip replacements, were categorized as 'elective'.

'This should not be the new normal,' he said.

'We should not resign ourselves to this virus. The price of it becoming endemic is very high.' 

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